Saturday, December 10, 2016

Permian Period: Climate, Animals & Plants

The Permian Period was the final period of the Paleozoic Era. Lasting from 299 million to 251 million years ago, it followed the Carboniferous Period and preceded the Triassic Period. By the early Permian, the two great continents of the Paleozoic, Gondwana and Euramerica, had collided to form the supercontinent Pangaea. Pangaea was shaped like a thickened letter “C.” The top curve of the “C” consisted of landmasses that would later become modern Europe and Asia. North and South America formed the curved back of the “C” with Africa inside the curve. India, Australia and Antarctica made up the low curve. Inside the “C” was the Tethys Ocean, and most of the rest of Earth was the Panthalassic Ocean. Because Pangaea was so immense, the interior portions of the continent had a much cooler, drier climate than had existed in the Carboniferous.

Marine life
Little is known about the huge Panthalassic Ocean, as there is little exposed fossil evidence available. Fossils of the shallower coastal waters around the Pangaea continental shelf indicate that reefs were large and diverse ecosystems with numerous sponge and coral species. Ammonites, similar to the modern nautilus, were common, as were brachiopods. The lobe-finned and spiny fishes that gave rise to the amphibians of the Carboniferous were being replaced by true bony fish. Sharks and rays continued in abundance.
Plants
On land, the giant swamp forests of the Carboniferous began to dry out. The mossy plants that depended on spores for reproduction were being replaced by the first seed-bearing plants, the gymnosperms. Gymnosperms are vascular plants, able to transport water internally. Gymnosperms have exposed seeds that develop on the scales of cones and are fertilized when pollen sifts down and lands directly on the seed. Today’s conifers are gymnosperms, as are the short palm like cycads and the gingko.

Insects
Arthropods continued to diversify during the Permian Period to fill the niches opened up by the more variable climate. True bugs, with mouthparts modified for piercing and sucking plant materials, evolved during the Permian. Other new groups included the cicadas and beetles.
Land animals
Two important groups of animals dominated the Permian landscape: Synapsids and Sauropsids. Synapsids had skulls with a single temporal opening and are thought to be the lineage that eventually led to mammals. Sauropsids had two skull openings and were the ancestors of the reptiles, including dinosaurs and birds. 
In the early Permian, it appeared that the Synapsids were to be the dominant group of land animals. The group was highly diversified. The earliest, most primitive Synapsids were the Pelycosaurs, which included an apex predator, a genus known as Dimetrodon. This animal had a lizard-like body and a large bony “sail” fin on its back that was probably used for thermoregulation. Despite its lizard-like appearance, recent discoveries have concluded that Dimetrodon skulls, jaws and teeth are closer to mammal skulls than to reptiles. Another genus of Synapsids, Lystrosaurus, was a small herbivore — about 3 feet long (almost 1 meter) — that looked something like a cross between a lizard and a hippopotamus. It had a flat face with two tusks and the typical reptilian stance with legs angled away from the body.
In the late Permian, Pelycosaurs were succeeded by a new lineage known as Therapsids. These animals were much closer to mammals. Their legs were under their bodies, giving them the more upright stance typical of quadruped mammals. They had more powerful jaws and more tooth differentiation. Fossil skulls show evidence of whiskers, which indicates that some species had fur and were endothermic. The Cynodont (“dog-toothed”) group included species that hunted in organized packs. Cynodonts are considered to be the ancestors of all modern mammals.
At the end of the Permian, the largest Synapsids became extinct, leaving many ecological niches open. The second group of land animals, the Sauropsid group, weathered the Permian Extinction more successfully and rapidly diversified to fill them. The Sauropsid lineage gave rise to the dinosaurs that would dominate the Mesozoic Era.
The Great Dying
The Permian Period ended with the greatest mass extinction event in Earth’s history. In a blink of Geologic Time — in as little as 100,000 years — the majority of living species on the planet were wiped out of existence.  Scientists estimate that more than 95 percent of marine species became extinct and more than 70 percent of land animals. Fossil beds in the Italian Alps show that plants were hit just as hard as animal species. Fossils from the late Permian show that huge conifer forests blanketed the region. These strata are followed by early Triassic fossils that show few signs of plants being present but instead are filled with fossil remnants of fungi that probably proliferated on a glut of decaying trees.

Scientists are unclear about what caused the mass extinction. Some point to evidence of catastrophic volcanic activity in Siberia and China (areas in the northern part of the “C” shaped Pangaea). This series of massive eruptions would have initially caused a rapid cooling of global temperatures leading to increased glaciations. This “nuclear winter” would have led to the demise of photosynthetic organisms, the basis of most food chains. Lowered sea levels and volcanic fallout would account for the evidence of much higher levels of carbon dioxide in the oceans, which may have led to the collapse of marine ecosystems. Other scientists point to indications of a massive asteroid impacting the southernmost tip of the “C” in what is now Australia. Whatever the cause, the Great Dying closed the Paleozoic Era.

Sunday, December 4, 2016

ASTEROIDAL IMPACT ON EARTH

Some asteroids have orbits that cross the orbit of the Earth. That means that the Earth will be hit sometime. Recent studies have shown that the Earth has been hit an alarmingly large number of times in the past. One large impact is now thought to have contributed to the quick demise of the dinosaurs about 65 million years ago.

Thermonuclear warhead Effect

The largest yield of a thermonuclear warhead is around 50--100 megatons. The kinetic energy of the falling object is converted to the explosion when it hits. The 10-kilometer object produces an explosion of 6 × 107 megatons of TNT (equivalent to an earthquake of magnitude 12.4 on the Richter scale).

Hole in the atmosphere

On its way to the impact, the asteroid pushes aside the air in front of it creating a hole in the atmosphere. The atmosphere above the impact site is removed for several tens of seconds. Before the surrounding air can rush back in to fill the gap, material from the impact: vaporized asteroid, crustal material, and ocean water (if it lands in the ocean), escapes through the hole and follows a ballistic flight back down. Within two minutes after impact, about 105 cubic kilometers of ejecta (1013 tons) is lofted to about 100 kilometers.

Steam  explosions

If the asteroid hits the ocean, the surrounding water returning over the hot crater floor is vaporized, sending more water vapor into the air as well as causing huge steam explosions.

Tsunami

The oceans cover about 75% of the Earth's surface, so it is likely the asteroid will hit an ocean. The asteroid will push the water aside and hit the ocean floor to create a large crater. The water pushed aside will form a tsunami, a megatsunami.
The steam blasts from the water at the crater site rushing back over the hot crater floor will also produce tsunamis following the initial impact.

Global Firestorm

The material ejected from the impact through the hole in the atmosphere will re-enter all over the globe and heat up from the friction with the atmosphere. The chunks of material will be hot enough to produce a lot of infrared light. The heat from the glowing material will start fires around the globe.

Acid Rain

The heat from the shock wave of the entering asteroid and reprocessing of the air close to the impact produces nitric and nitrous acids over the next few months to one year.
Atmospheric NO2 is converted to nitric and nitrous acids when it is mixed with water.These are really nasty acids. They will wash out of the air when it rains---a worldwide deluge of acid rain with damaging effects:
1.     destruction or damage of foliage;
2.     great amounts of weathering of continental rocks;
3.     the upper ocean organisms are killed. These organisms are responsible for locking up carbon dioxide in their shells (calcium carbonate) that would eventually become limestone. However, the shells will dissolve in the acid water. That along with the "impact winter" kills off about 90% of all marine nanoplankton species..
4.     The ozone layer is destroyed by O3 reacting with NO. The amount of ultraviolet light hitting the surface increases, killing small organisms and plants (key parts of the food chain). The NO2 causes respiratory damage in larger animals. Harmful elements like Beryllium, Mercury, Thallium, etc. are let loose.

Temperature Effects (impact winter)

All of the dust in the air from the impact and soot from the fires will block the Sun. The dramatic decrease of sunlight reaching the surface produces a drastic short-term global reduction in temperature, called impact winter. Plant photosynthesis stops and the food chain collapses.
The cooling is followed by a much more prolonged period of increased temperature due to a large increase in the greenhouse effect. The greenhouse effect is increased because of the increase of the carbon dioxide and water vapour in the air. The carbon dioxide level rises because the plants are burned and most of the plankton are wiped out. Also, water vapor in the air from the impact stays aloft for a while. The temperatures are too warm for comfort for a while.

Beneficial Asteroid Impacts

The near-Earth asteroids are the most worrisome ones for possible impacts but they could also be potentially very beneficial to Earth if we could mine them for rare metals and use the asteroids as convenient stepping stones to manned exploration of the solar system, especially traveling to Mars.
The near-Earth asteroids are relatively abundant in heavy metals like iron and nickel and the platinum-group metals (platinum, palladium, rhodium, ruthenium, osmium, and iridium) used in modern technology.
In fact, all of the heavy metals in the Earth's crust came from asteroid impacts after the Earth differentiated
The water from the asteroids could also be broken down into oxygen and hydrogen to be used as rocket fuel.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

FOREST FIRES

Forest fires are an annual occurrence in Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh. Over 4,500 hectares have been affected in Himachal Pradesh, some 40% more than the 3,185 hectares in Uttarakhand. The latter state has seen 1,470 incidents of fire so far — 803 (affecting 1,413.58 ha) of which were in the Garhwal region, 463 (1,076.21 ha) in Kumaon, and 204 (695.65 ha) in wildlife zones.
Nature of fire
It is very difficult to actually know how the fire started. But at least with the circumstantial evidences it is clear that there was lack of preventive measures and the preparedness was low with a weak action plan.
Forest fires as Natural Event
As a natural event Forest fire in Uttrakhand is a common phenomenon during the summer season. It is so mainly due to the presence of Chir pine trees. These trees heavily shed the highly inflammable dry Chir pine needles which acts like a fuel for combustion.
As a natural event wildfires are sometimes a natural process, and help forests by promoting flowering, branching and seedling establishment. fires that are limited to the surface may help in the natural regeneration of forests. The heating of the soil may result in helpful microbial activity, and hasten decaying processes that are useful for the vegetation.

Forest fires are a natural phenomenon and are bound to happen periodically. Some of the contributing factors are, built up of highly inflammable Chir Pine dead leaves, poor hydrological health, increasing impact of temperature increases, increasing pressure on the forests due to increasing human activity in the vicinity and repeated drought conditions.

Floodplain: Issues associated with it

What is a floodplain?
That portion of a river valley, adjacent to the river, that is built up of alluvium deposited during the present disposition of the stream flow. It is covered with water when the river overflows during flood periods. Meandering streams are typical features of floodplains. During the process of lateral erosion, the form of a meandering stream is altered by reduction, trimming, and cutting through, until all that remains is a crescentic mark, a floodplain meander scar, indicating the former position of a river meander on a floodplain. The beginnings of a floodplain are represented by lunate or sinuous strips of coarse alluvium along the inner bank of a stream meander. These are called point bars.
Floodplain is the area adjacent to a river that is not always under water, but is prone to flooding. It is an extension of the riverbed. In the case of the Yamuna in Delhi, the area that is likely to get submerged at least once in a 25-year period has been classified as its floodplain. The floodplains are not separate from the river. They are an integral part of any river-system, and are an ecologically sensitive area.
Why was Yamina Floodplains in news?
The biggest ever festival of music and dance organized by The Art of Living saw 3.5 million people attending to it. A huge 7-acre stage apparently the world’s largest ever, was erected. Several tents have been put up, pontoon bridges are being laid, dirt tracks were being laid, and heavy equipment have been deployed. Vegetation has been cut to make way for the temporary constructions. A major portion of the area has been flattened.
Environment  impacts on Flood plain.
  1. One of the important functions of the floodplains is groundwater recharge. In the process of flattening, the surface is to be hardened, and that can severely impact its groundwater recharge capability.
  2. Such works can also change the natural gradient of the floodplain, which can diminish its flood-carrying capacity.
  3. Small water bodies and wetlands are filled up which absorb rainwater.
  4. Some vegetation necessarily gets cleared up which has a role in either diverting the water flow and or increasing the biodiversity.
But what did the committee say?
A committee appointed by the NGT did make a site visit, and recorded its observations in a report to the court. But it was based on just a three-hour inspection, and not a proper scientific assessment.
In his observations, one of the members of the committee, said that
q  the site had been cleared of all natural vegetation, raised with the help of JCBs
q  huge amount of debris and construction waste had been dumped into the main channel of the Yamuna
q  The  activity was in no way benign and would have a permanent footprint on the floodplain.
It recommended that the organisers restrict the area of their operation to the bare minimum, and pay for the entire cost of the restoration. It said that a strong message should be sent to the DDA so that such violations are not repeated, and a restoration plan is prepared and its implementation monitored strictly.
An assessment
The area be restored to its original condition with not too much amount of difficulty. The clearing of debris can be done comparatively easily. Some other works can take several years. However, the problem in this case is that the authorities don’t even know what the original condition was. No study or assessment was done before the Art of Living Foundation was allowed to make changes to the floodplain for the event. In the absence of a baseline scenario, there is no way to assess whether the original condition has been restored.
Depending on what the impacts are, the monetary costs of restoration can be very high. The NGT-appointed committee had estimated that between Rs 100 and Rs 120 crore might be required for the restoration. It had recommended that the organisers be asked to deposit this amount in a separate account ahead of the event.
But the Akshardham temple and Commonwealth Games Village too stand on the Yamuna floodplains. They also caused damage. On both occasions, activists and citizens petitioned the courts, and the matter reached the Supreme Court. On both occasions, the apex court finally cleared the construction. In the CWG Village case, the court ruled that the site did not constitute the floodplains of the river.

In scale and size, these two are several times bigger than the Art of Living Foundation’s event. Activists and experts say the two gigantic, permanent structures have caused irreparable and irreversible damage to the river. But again, no scientific assessment has ever been made of the precise impact.

Why India needs a strong Navy

1.      Oceans are a large buffer zone inviting control and management for want of which the buffer can be replaced by a direct face off.
2.      India has along coastline of 7516 kms with many littoral islands, which requires to be defended monitored and to undergo surveillance. Only a strong navy will be able to do it.
3.      India has to make necessarily concentrate on Indian Ocean
·         If China were to gain the upper hand in the Indian Ocean region, it will mark the end of India’s great-power ambitions.
·         India’s tactical and strategic disadvantages along its land frontiers are more than compensated by its immense geographic advantage in the Indian Ocean. Such is peninsular India’s vantage location in the Indian Ocean — the world’s premier energy and trade seaway — that the country is positioned dominantly astride vital sea lanes of communication (SLOCs), including China’s emergent Maritime Silk Road.
·         The Indian Ocean promises to shape the wider geopolitics and balance of power in Asia and beyond.
·         To conter The Silk Road of China with the use of aid, investment and other leverage to pull littoral states closer to its orbit, including through the construction of seaports, railroads and highways. Such construction may provide a counterpoint to China’s military assertiveness. Yet it is integral to a strategy that fuses soft and hard tactics to bind countries to China’s economy and security and to convince them that it is in their interest to accept China as Asia’s alpha power.
·         To prevent Chinese military encirclement, India needs to significantly accelerate naval modernization. It must build sufficient naval prowess to potentially interdict Chinese SLOCs in the Indian Ocean and hold the Chinese economy hostage if a Himalayan war were thrust upon it again.
·         The Chinese military keeps Indian ground forces busy in peacetime by staging Himalayan border incursions and other flare-ups, the oil and liquefied gas flowing from the Gulf and Africa to China pass through the Indian Ocean unmolested and unimpeded. Over 80% of China’s oil imports pass through the Malacca Strait chokepoint. Boosting SLOC interdiction capability would allow the Indian Navy to dominate key maritime routes and help improve the Chinese military’s behaviour along the Himalayas.
4.      As India expands its regional influence through trade and commerce, it needs a Navy to protect and defend its interests. Trade with African countries is improving. India is involved in several projects in Africa and a Naval presence is required in the Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean to deter the Chinese. Despite superior numbers, the Chinese have a distinct disadvantage in the fact that their Navy has no actual war experience. India, thus is improving its Naval presence there.
5.      The US is friendly, for now. But they have the same Anglo Saxon mentality of their ancestors, the British. They mistake friendliness for weakness. They will always try to ensure their supremacy in the world by making other nations fight among themselves, providing arms to all sides of the conflict. An expanded presence in our own backyard will help us to protect ourselves in cases of National threats coming from outside. Indigenous production in this case becomes more vital. The Soviets protected us from the Americans in the 1971 war against Pakistan. The USSR exists no more. So we need to be stronger to prevent such events from recurring.
6.      India imports 70% of its crude oil from abroad. This passes through the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. The US has its 5th fleet stationed there.
7.      The Chinese are building a port with a nuclear submarine pen in the city of Gwadar in Pakistan. The port will be connected to China via a highway from Gwadar through Pakistan Occupied Kashmir and into China. This will save them the 6000 mile long journey to take the oil through the Sea. India is countering this by building the port in Chabahar in Iran. The actual work was delayed thus far due to sanctions against Iran. Now that they are lifted, the work will hopefully resume. The port will serve 2 purposes:
·         It will outflank the Chinese Pakistani project.
·         It will provide access to the sea for land locked Afghanistan.
India also plans to source raw materials and minerals from Afghanistan through this project.

Challenges to rise of Indian naval power

Naval power had always been technology intensive and most innovative like aerospace power. Waves of technology revolutions have rendered obsolescent the concepts, doctrines, operations and the hardware of the past era.
Four cardinal challenges stand out for India.
1.      The pace of platform buildup outpaces by the platform ageing of the current inventory-therefore the order of battle of the fleet is constantly under flux with falling numbers. Although considerable service-life-extension-programs have gone into the platforms with hybridization of technology, these platforms are now coming to an end of their immensely useful operational life. The imperatives for newer platforms on emerging technology templates require urgency. However, the addition of platforms to the ratio of retirement has- not been sufficient in numbers.
2.      Secondly, the complexity and diversity of missions have been increasing stressing the existing fleets into missions often beyond their capacity.
3.      Thirdly, the pace of Revolution in Military Affairs or even specifically the Revolution in Naval Affairs produces new synergies in technology, doctrines and operations resulting in new templates of naval platforms, organizational and operational complexity.
4.      The operational reputation of a navy is often intact unless challenged by a rising challenger or a new wave of technology and weaponry that may reduce the robustness of an established navy be inflicting a shocking defeat.

5.      The pace of the plan modernization and the strategic alliances that it is building with Pakistan, Bangladesh, Myanmar, and Sri Lanka for access and basing engages the Navy into inevitable regional overdrive to sustain and leverage its power and domain. It demands the Indian Navy the buildup of capacities in organizational, order of battle and operational wherewithal that would be able to develop a strong forward presence in the Strait of Malacca-South China Sea all the way to the East Pacific as a counterpoise to the Chinese maritime access building

Why slum relocation schemes are not effective? Examine the problems in brief with an emphasis on slums as a offering solutions and its economic prospects.

The Government of India, for purposes of the implementation of various schemes relating to urban development, has defined a slum area as follow: "A slum area means any where such dwellings predominate, which by reason of dilapidation, overcrowding, faulty arrangement and design of buildings, narrowness and faulty arrangement of street, lack of ventilation, lack of sanitation facilities, inadequacy of open spaces and health or morale." These slum area are also referred to as the 'blighted area'; 'renewal area'; 'deteriorated area', 'lower class neighborhood'; 'lower income area', etc. in India, these areas are also known as 'Jeropadpatti'; Juggi Jhounpadi'; 'Bastee'; 'Akatas' and 'Cherri', in regional vocabularies.
With respect to slums, there is a pattern where people are willing to give up better living conditions (more space and toilets on premises) for better opportunities in the core areas near city (in contrast to peripheral areas near periphery).

  1. Some of them do not move to the new/relocated areas as their livelihood is deeply rooted in these slums (core) and the new areas have poor accessibility and livelihood options are limited. Intrinsic skills like zari making are related to specific markets. Relocation renders these skills redundant.
  2. The credit ecosystem that existed based on trust, social relationship and nurtured for generations is also lost. Unemployment and credit opportunities have a cyclical impact on each other. Credit makes it easy for people to start small businesses and skill-based work such as carpentry, driving autorickshaws and taxis, and employment makes it easy for people to get and pay back credit on time.  Read more...

METEORITIC IMPACT

The Earth has been getting hit by asteroids and comets for its whole life. The planets formed from collisions of smaller objects, and even our water may have come largely from comets.
To lead to a global catastrophe, an asteroid or comet only has to be big enough to launch large amounts of dust in to the atmosphere. That leads to the abrupt change in climate that wipes out species.
The odds of a major asteroid impact are very small. However, asteroids do pass close to earth, to have a major impact.

Impact event

An impact event is a collision between celestial objects causing measurable effects. Impact events have physical consequences and have been found to regularly occur in planetary systems, though the most frequent involve asteroids, comets or meteoroids and have minimal impact. When large objects impact terrestrial planets like the Earth, there can be significant physical and biospheric consequences, though atmospheres mitigate many surface impacts through atmospheric entry.
One of the best-known recorded impacts in modern times was the Tunguska event, which occurred in Siberia, Russia, in 1908.
The 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor event is the only known such event to result in a large number of injuries, and the Chelyabinsk meteor is the largest recorded object to have encountered the Earth since the Tunguska event.

Geological significance

Impacts have, during the history of the Earth, had a significant geological and climatic influence.
1.    Exogenesis-The origins of life may have been influenced by impacting objects by bringing organic chemicals or life forms to the Earth's surface
2.    Several consecutive impacts can have effect on the dynamo mechanism at a planet's core responsible for maintaining the magnetic field of the planet, and can eventually shut down the planet's magnetic field.
3.    an impact event in an ocean or sea may create a megatsunami (a giant wave), which can cause destruction both at sea and on land along the coast.
4.    The impact event can cause mantle plume (volcanism) at antipodal point
5.    Biospheric effects-The effect of impact events on the biosphere has been the subject of scientific debate. Several theories of impact related mass extinction have been developed.
Evidences for such an impact-Unusually high concentrations of iridium in a specific layer of rock strata in the Earth's crust. Iridium is an element that is rare on Earth but relatively abundant in many meteorites.
Multi directionally shocked quartz (coesite), which is only known to form as the result of large impacts or atomic bomb explosions, has also been found in the same layer at more than 30 sites. Soot and ash at levels tens of thousands times normal levels were found with the above.
Anomalies in chromium isotopic ratios found within the K-T boundary layer strongly support the impact.


6.    Sociological and cultural effects: End of civilization, An impact event is commonly seen as a scenario that would bring about the end of civilization. Read more...

ELECTRIC GRID IN INDIA

What is an electrical grid ?
A grid is an interconnected network of transmission lines and substations hooked on to generating stations on the one hand and load centres on the other. The generating stations, put together, supply the electricity demand through the transmission lines; the load centres or distribution companies then draw the power from the lines and wheel it to consumers. The basic premise for the stability of the grid is that load and generation must be balanced at all times to prevent a failure.
The flow of electricity through the lines should ideally not exceed the rated capacity; otherwise the lines could trip due to an overload. For grid operators, one of the prerequisites is to ensure that there is adequate redundancy in the system so that the possible tripping of one line does not lead to a cascading event that can potentially impact operations of the grid as a whole.
Components of a grid
A grid consists of three main components:
  1. power stations that produce electricity from fossil fuels (coal, gas) or non-combustible fuels (hydro, nuclear, wind, solar);
  2. transmission lines that carry electricity from power plants to demand centers;
  3. transformers that reduce the voltage so that distribution lines carry power for final delivery.
Functioning and Stability
All generating stations are expected to inject power as per schedules declared by them to the grid operator while all load centres or distribution utilities are expected to draw power as per the drawal schedule given by them to load despatch centres.
Stablity of the grid
This is done by monitoring the grid frequency, an index that shows whether power is being supplied and drawn as per schedule. The optimal frequency in India is pegged at 50 hertz, or cycles per second. The permissible frequency band for grid operations in India is 49.5Hz to 50.2Hz, as per the Indian Electricity Grid Code. The larger the grid size, the more stable it is deemed to be. At the same time, if a grid disturbance does happen, its scale could be larger for a larger grid.
The nature of network in India.
At present the northern, western, eastern and northeastern regions are integrally connected through AC (alternating current) transmission links to form what is called the 'NEW' grid. There is a free flow of power between these four regions. The southern region is hooked up with the rest of the country through HVDC (high voltage direct current) transmission links, which have constraints on wheeling capacity, thereby limiting the free flow of power from and to the southern region. India's current cumulative installed capacity is 205 gigawatts (1GW is 1,000MW).
Major problems plaguing the power transmission sector
  1. During construction. The right of way (where to put the tower) problem is most severe because it is on somebody else’s land.
  2. Availability of land to build substations. The availability and possibility of buying that land is also difficult.
  3. Concerning the vendors. Because the construction is quite large, large number of vendors are needed. Sufficient numbers of vendors are not available.
  4. The problems in realisation of money from the beneficiaries. The financial condition of distribution companies is not very good currently. So collection of money is difficult.
  5. Grid collapse
While India has seen two major grid failures in the last 10 years, there have been several instances of grid collapses in other parts of the world. These include the Brazil-Paraguay blackout of 2009 that affected 87 million people, the Northeast blackout of 2003 in North America that affected some 55 million residents, the 2003 Italy blackout that hit another 55 million people, and the 2005 Java-Bali blackout, by which close to 100 million people were affected in Indonesia.
There can be two main reasons.
·         One is equipment failure due to reasons such as fog and pollution, as had happened when the northern grid collapsed in 2002.
·         The other, and more common, reason is when one or more constituents violate the grid code and overdraw in a big way from the grid, causing it to fail due to the imbalance in the power injection and drawal patterns.
Management of overdrawing
There cannot be physical control over excess drawal, only a financial penalty. In India, the grid frequency-linked penal measure is called the Unscheduled Interchange or UI rate. If the grid frequency drops, the UI rate shoots up, acting as a disincentive for discoms to overdraw when the frequency dips.
Northern states are repeat violators of the grid frequency norms, especially Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Punjab, Jammu and Kashmir. The 'UI' penalty has failed to deter some of these states, which overdraw and then default on the 'UI' payment itself with the grid operators. UP, for instance, is known to routinely run up 'UI' bills of several hundred crores and delay the payments. The state has also taken advantage of a High Court order under which it does not pay the full UI penal rate.
Smart Grid
A "smart grid" is an electrical grid, which includes a variety of operational, and energy measures including smart meters, smart appliances, renewable energy resources, and energy efficiency resources. Electronic power conditioning and control of the production and distribution of electricity are important aspects of the smart grid.
Benefits of a smart-grid
  1. The basic objective is that consumers should participate in the project. They should know what is happening in the power supply space. They should know how much they are actually consuming and paying. Presently, someone comes at some time for meter reading and the consumers have no clues, they just pay the bill. In the new system, a lot of intelligence is built into the meter.
  2. Energy saving in a smart-grid set up. At least 15 to 20 per cent, which is huge. Smart-grid is the future. That is why we have invested in the project. Our objective is not to earn money but to ensure energy conservation and help improve the quality of life in the society.
The status of the smart-grid project and the roadmap ahead
The first project at Puducherry. All the features of smart-grid are there. The project is complete. One thousand four hundred smart meters have been installed. Any feature of smart-grid and it is there. Now, the government has planned similar projects at 14 other locations.
Progress
Smart -grid will be in various states. It is in the domain of distribution. It will not be in the network. Power grid Corporation is one consultant for these projects. In the transmission sector, a smart-grid is under implementation.
Plans for Smart grid
Out of the budgeted capital expenditure of Rs. 22,000 crore, 30 per cent will be Power grid money and the rest will be raised through line of credit and issue of bonds. Future plans

  1. Shifting emphasis on commissioning.
  2. Work on smart-grid and energy efficiency.
  3. Venturing into products.
  4. Altough a services company it has developed products such as smart meters and apertures.
  5. The establishment of a research centre. The board is now setting up a lab facility.
  6. Human  resources management. It is being ensured that at every level there is a leader. In this front, an academy is being set up called called Power grid Academy of Leadership at Manesar.
  7. All the requirements till now were met through issuance of domestic bonds. It has shifted its attention to international bonds.

BRIEFLY DISCUSS AREAS OF CONTENTION AMONG INDIA AND CHINA. WHAT IS STRATEGIC DEFENCE INITIATIVE THAT INDIA HAS TAKEN AGAINST CHINA AND WHAT IS GOING TO BE ITS IMPACT?

At various pockets along the disputed 3,500-km LAC-a line that reflects the territory under the present control of India and China, but is not an agreed upon final border-both sides have differing views on where the line actually lies. With troops patrolling up to what they see as their perception of the LAC, patrols have had run-ins and face-off situations caused by overlapping claim lines.
1.      KARAKORAM RANGE- Talks on the LAC in the western sector stalled with China rejecting discussions on areas west of the Karakoram Pass and the roughly 5,800 sq-km Shaksgam Valley ceded by Pakistan to China, which is claimed by India.
2.      DEPSANG- Ties strained as Chinese troops pitched a tent on the Depsang plains, ahead of the May 2013 visit of Premier Li Keqiang. China claimed the area as being on "its side of the LAC':
3.      CHUMAR- Patrols on both sides engaged in three-week-long stand-off coinciding with President Xi Jinping's September 2014 visit to New Delhi.
4.      BARAHOTI- Differing perceptions of area in the middle sector in Uttarakhand emerged during the map exchange in 2000, with reports of intermittent incursions in this region.
5.      TAWANG- China has never recognized the McMahon Line in the eastern sector. Its hardening claims on Arunachal, and especially on Tawang in spite of a 2005 understanding on settled populations, has led to further stalemate in the east.

INDIA’S STRATEGIC DEFENCE AGAINST CHINA, MEASURES AND MEANS

Building of ALG (Advanced Landing Ground)
Under the overall plan to progressively boost both military force-levels and infrastructure to address the stark military asymmetry with the People's Liberation Army, the IAF will activate its Pasighat advanced landing ground (ALG) in West Siang district of Arunachal Pradesh.
The ALG will not only improve our response time to different operational contingencies, but also the efficacy of the overall air operations on the eastern front.
Pasighat is the fifth ALG to become operational other than Daulat Beg Oldi and Nyoma in Laddakh, While Ziro, Along, Mechuka and Walong ALGs in Arunachal are now operational, Tuting will be ready soon.
Other infrastructural support
Similarly, the government has now approved several infrastructure development projects in the Andaman and Nicobar Command (ANC), as the country's first theatre command, say defence ministry sources. India has also begun to regularly deploy its Sukhoi-30MKI fighters and C-130J Super Hercules air craft, as well as the long range patrol and anti-sub-marine warfare Poseidon-81 aircraft, at the ANC, which can act as a pivot to counter China's strategic moves in the Indian Ocean Region. 
Weapon and Payload mounting
  • Agni-III (3,000km range) inducted. Agni-IV (3,500km) & Agni-V (over 5,000km) to be ready in another 2-3 years.
  • More Sukhoi-30MKI fighters, spy drones & helicopters in eastern theatre.
  • More T-72 tanks in Ladakh & Arunachal.
  • 2 new infantry divisions (36,000 soldiers) raised at Likabali & Missamari (Assam) in 2009-2010.
  • Mountain strike corps (90,274 soldiers) to be fully raised by 2021.
  • Ongoing deployment of 6 Akash surface-to-air missile squadrons in northeast.
  • CCS has cleared a regiment of BrahMos supersonic cruise missiles for Arunachal.
  • Activated ALGs in Ladakh (DBO, Nyoma & Fukche) and Arunachal (Pasighat, Mechuka, Walong, Along & Ziro).
  • Military force-levels & infrastructure to be bolstered in A& N Islands).
Problems in Strategic counter move                                                          

But road and rail connectivity remain a major problem along the unresolved 4,057km Line of Actual Control (LAC), which witnesses almost daily "transgressions" by Chinese troops.

Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Chah Bahar, Its significance and the impediments in taking it ahead

Introduction

An India-operated port in Iran's Chabahar would open a gateway for the country to Afghanistan and Central Asia. The port is of strategic importance.
The decision to ink MoU with Iran for expansion of Chabahar Port, after a long delay, opens up major commercial and strategic opportunities for India

Why Chabahar is Crucial ?


1.      Sits at mouth of Strait of Hormuz area. It is at the Junction of shipping, oil trade routes About 100,000 ships sail by yearly
2.      It Connects three regions: Central Asia, South Asia and West Asia
3.      Chah Bahar will foster Closer ties with Iran will allow Delhi to secure cheaper energy imports. Chah Bahar has hold on two-thirds of world oil reserves. Chabahar Port route helps connect India with energy-rich Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan & other central Asian nations. An estimated 17 billion barrels of crude oil passes this way daily.
4.      It Gives India strategic heft in region; helps it bypass Pakistan & build closer ties with Iran and Afghanistan
5.      This route is 40% shorter, 30% less expensive than trade via the Red Sea-Suez Canal-Mediterranean route
6.      In the absence of transit through Pakistan, Iran is India's gateway to Afghanistan, Central Asia, and Russia and beyond and the Chabahar port is the key element in that
7.      The location of the port is significant as It is located barely 72 km away from the deep-sea Gwadar port. Thus Once functional, Chabahar will Offset China's growing influence and reach in the region. will further undermine Gwadar.
8.      While the Chabahar port is essentially meant for commercial purposes and provides transit route to Afghanistan, India Can use the facility to monitor Pakistani & Chinese activities in the India Ocean Region as well as Gulf. It could be convenient location for India to monitor activities of Pakistani Navy
9.      Indian investment in the port would serve as a link to Delaram-zaranj road that India built in Afghanistan. Chabahar port would give New Delhi a base to position itself after international troops withdraw from Afghanistan
10.  India-built Zaranj-Delaram road in Afghanistan will connect to the Chabahar port via Milak. Iran with financial aid from India is upgrading the Chabahar-Milakroad
11.  The Chabahar-Milak-Zaranj-Delaram highway will open up the Indian market to Afghan farm products and other exports. It will also help combat the scourge of illicit drugs production and export and assist the trade, transport and transit network of Iran

Significance of the deal for Afghanistan

1.      Unhindered access to the Indian Ocean
2.      India-built highway will link country to Chabahar port, further trade
3.      Afghanistan hopes to exploit $ltrillion of untapped mineral wealth to earn revenue

Run-Up To The Deal

In 2009, India built a 218 kin long (@$100m) link road from Delaram in western Afghanistan to Zaranj on the Iran-Afghan border to link up with Chabahar port
Zaranj Delaram highway connects with the 2,200 km two-lane metalled road network, known as the Garland Road that connects major cities in 'the country

Rational for indian Investment in Chabahar

An Indian JV company will lease two berths in Chahbahar's Phase-I for 10 years, which could be renewed by "mutual pact". The JV will invest $85.21 m for equipping the two berths further within 12 months.
r        India will invest $85m to build a container terminal & a multi-purpose cargo terminal
r        On May 6, 2015, Union minister Nitin Gadkari signed MoU with Iran to complete this by Dee 2016
r        Iran wants Chabahar to be the third major hub for its petrochemical industries
r        Indian private & public sector entities projected investment worth $22b in the free trade zone area
r        Chemicals, petrochem, steel, fertilizer are major sectors, besides Indian railways likely to invest
r        India was offered the project to develop Chabahar port in 2003 by Iran, intended to be a critical access-point to land locked Afghanistan
r        For Afghanistan, an operational Chabahar route was a better alternative. It would reduce its dependence  on Pakistan - the sole nation providing it access to the sea
r        Pakistan has been reluctant to allow Indian goods to pass overland through its territory
r        The project did not take off over US sanctions against Iran, but India has gone ahead now follwing lifting of the sanctions

Factors that will obstruct  Chabahar in its full development.

Chahbahar has the potential to alter the entire strategic relations of Afghanistan and Iran with India and oil geopolitics of Central Asia. But the path is not going to be easy.
1.          The fate of the Chabahar project will depend on successive governments showing sustained resolve in the face of geopolitical hurdles. The potential spoilers are several.
(a)     For one, relations between Tehran and the West, though vastly improved, remain fraught, with many hardliners in Iran believing the country was short-changed in the nuclear deal that paved the way for an end to sanctions. That, potentially, could lead to tensions
(b)    There could be differences over Iran’s role in Syria and Afghanistan.
(c)     Indian governments will also have to incentivise private corporations for using the Iranian route to transit goods to Central Asia, rather than the fast, cheap networks they now use through Singapore and China.

(d)    Finally, the project can only be successful if Indian manufacturing is globally competitive.